Betting odds for Hill vs Rountree - who to pick?

UFC Baku Preview - June 22, 2025

This Saturday, the UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan for a stacked card headlined by a brutal light heavyweight showdown between former champ Jamahal Hill and dangerous striker Khalil Rountree Jr. From heavyweight power plays to precision kickboxers, UFC Baku delivers elite betting opportunities across the board.

Main Event - Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

Rountree is currently the slight favorite at -120 while Hill is available at even money or slightly better in most books. Rountree comes into this bout on a major upswing with brutal knockouts and a more polished Muay Thai arsenal. Hill, while technically solid and a former titleholder, has struggled recently, including back-to-back KO losses. If Rountree pressures early and finds his timing, expect another finish. The pick is Khalil Rountree Jr. to win by knockout.

Co-Main Event - Ignacio Bahamondes vs Rafael Fiziev

Bahamondes is also a -120 favorite against the flashy but vulnerable Fiziev. Bahamondes has serious pop in his punches and a tendency to start hot. Fiziev is slick and experienced but has looked a step slower and hittable in his recent performances. The pick here is Bahamondes to score a highlight-reel KO or a dominant decision.

Curtis Blaydes vs Rizvan Kuniev

Blaydes enters as a heavy favorite around -265 and for good reason. His wrestling is among the best in the heavyweight division and Kuniev, though tough and durable, hasn't faced this level of competition before. Expect a classic Blaydes game plan of takedowns, top control, and possibly a late stoppage. Blaydes wins convincingly.

Nazim Sadykhov vs Nikolas Motta

Sadykhov is a big -395 favorite over the gritty but outgunned Motta. With more tools and a deeper gas tank, Sadykhov is likely to dictate the pace and take a clear decision or get a finish in the second half of the fight.

Muhammad Naimov vs Bogdan Grad

Naimov is sitting as a -225 favorite and brings pressure, conditioning, and strong grappling. Grad is a game underdog but lacks the volume and pace to keep up. Look for Naimov to control the action and win by decision.

Myktybek Orolbai vs Tofiq Musayev

A close fight with Orolbai slightly favored around -110. Orolbai's pace, cardio, and tenacity make him a good bet against Musayev, who can be flashy early but tends to fade. Orolbai should be able to push the action and earn a hard-fought decision.

UFC Betting Predictions for Baku

Rountree by knockout

Bahamondes to win inside the distance

Blaydes by decision or late TKO

Sadykhov with a dominant showing

Naimov to outwork Grad over three rounds

Orolbai to edge Musayev in a grinder

Why These Picks Matter

Rountree's KO power is real - ex-Q champ Pereira reigned him but only after extended war; he's the more dangerous puncher

Hill's toughness is declining; two recent KOs signal vulnerability against a hitter.

Blaydes is a safe bet against a novice like Kuniev.

Bahamondes is trending for live finishes, making him a strong moneyline and prop pick.

Bottom Line

Expect Rountree to KO Hill and Bahamondes to light up Fiziev early.

Blaydes should control the heavyweight bout.

Undercards favor the heavy favorites?easy decisions.

Watch for underdog prop value: finishes, round props on Rountree and Bahamondes

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Final Thoughts

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