UFC 317 UFC Topuria vs Oliveira Picks and Previews

Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira - vacant lightweight title

Topuria enters as the heavy favorite around −525 to −455 depending on the book - while Oliveira sits near +330 to +380. The Georgian‑Spanish striker carries an undefeated UFC record and knockout wins over Volkanovski and Holloway. Oliveira, a former lightweight king, relies on his submission game and experience. Impressive early striking could give Topuria the edge.
Prediction: Topuria by late KO or decision.
Betting angles: Moneyline (Topuria −525/Oliviera +330), method props (Topuria by KO, Oliveira by submission), round props (KO in rounds 2?3), over/under rounds, live betting if early strikes land.

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara‑France - flyweight title

Pantoja is the favorite in the region of −250, with Kara‑France a +200 underdog. Pantoja's grappling and pace against Kara‑France's explosiveness and knockout power will make for a great testing duel.
Prediction: Pantoja wins by late submission or decision.
Betting options: Moneyline, prop bets (submission props or decision to Pantoja), round bets, same‑fight parlays with main event method props.

Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano - lightweight

Odds are almost pick'em: Moicano slightly favored around −115 while Dariush hovers at −105 to +130 . Dariush brings pressure and wrestling; Moicano counters with jiu‑jitsu and volume striking.
Prediction: Dariush takes a close decision.
Betting markets: Moneyline, decision prop on Dariush, over/under rounds, perhaps alternate methods.

Brandon Royval vs. Joshua Van - flyweight

Royval is roughly −105, Van at −115, again nearly even money. Royval is gritty and experienced; Van is a rising threat on short notice.
Prediction: Royval outworks Van en route to decision.
Betting: Moneyline, decision prop, total rounds.

Payton Talbott vs. Felipe Lima - welterweight

Lima is the favorite at about −190, with Talbott a +155 underdog. Lima has reach and striking pedigree; Talbott is durable with solid wrestling.
Prediction: Lima wins by mid‑round stoppage.
Bets to consider: Moneyline, method prop (KO/TKO for Lima), round prop (round 2-3).

Betting formats to explore

Moneylines: straightforward win wagers.
Prop bets: method of victory (KO, submission, decision), round-specific outcomes.
Round over/under: bets whether a fight exceeds a certain round.
Same‑fight parlays: combining, for instance, Topuria win + Pantoja win + method selections.
Future/outcome bets: such as Topuria becoming a two‑division champ or title-longer prop.
Live/in-play: especially useful if Topuria lands early, or Pantoja dives for submissions.

Overall preview tone

This is one of UFC's most compelling weekend cards. Topuria's undefeated momentum sets up a potential generational lightweight star, but he'll have to get through Oliveira's lethal jiu-jitsu. Pantoja aims to cement his flyweight reign. The co-featured lightweight clashes promise tactical chess matches with Dariush and Moicano, while undercard bouts offer solid betting value due to short odds and stylistic matchups.

Example betting strategy
- Strong core play: Topuria by KO prop and Pantoja decision at solid odds
- Add Dariush decision as a low-risk leg in a small parlay
- Include method prop on Lima KO to round it out
- If Topuria lands early, consider live bet on early finish or alternate parlays.

Enjoy UFC 317. It's shaping up to be an exciting night of legacy opportunities, rising contenders, and wagering possibilities.