Saturday's UFC 333 brings two championship fights to Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, with Alexander Volkanovski defending his featherweight title against undefeated Movsar Evloev and bantamweight champion Petr Yan facing Merab Dvalishvili for the third time. The five-fight main card offers several competitive betting markets, including two closely priced championship matchups and intriguing opportunities in the heavyweight, featherweight and flyweight divisions.
Below is the ProCappers full main card breakdown, featuring current moneyline odds, matchup analysis, predicted winners and our preferred betting picks for Saturday, October 24, 2026.
Event: UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026 Venue: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Main Card Start: 2:00 PM ET Broadcast: Paramount+
UFC 333 Main Card Odds and Predictions
Fight | Moneyline odds | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev | -110 / -110 | Evloev |
Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili | -155 / +130 | Yan |
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Ramazan Temirov | -116 / -104 | Temirov |
Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev | -120 / EVEN | Volkov |
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | -140 / +118 | Keita |
American moneyline odds are indicative prices from BetUS and other published sportsbook listings checked October 23, 2026. Prices vary by sportsbook and may change before fight time.
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev — Featherweight Championship
Odds: Alexander Volkanovski -110 | Movsar Evloev -110 Prediction: Movsar Evloev by unanimous decision Free Pick: Movsar Evloev Moneyline (-110) Betting Confidence: Moderate
Alexander Volkanovski faces one of the most difficult stylistic challenges of his championship career when he meets undefeated contender Movsar Evloev in Saturday's five-round main event.
Volkanovski enters with a 28-4 professional record and remains one of the most technically complete fighters in UFC history. His combination of footwork, striking accuracy, defensive wrestling and championship experience has allowed him to consistently compete against the featherweight division's elite.
However, Evloev presents a different challenge.
The 20-0 Russian contender has built his undefeated record around relentless wrestling pressure, positional control and an ability to maintain a demanding pace throughout three-round and five-round contests. Unlike opponents who rely primarily on explosive takedowns, Evloev is comfortable chaining wrestling attempts together until he establishes control.
That approach could become particularly important as this fight progresses.
Volkanovski possesses excellent takedown defense and the ability to scramble back to his feet. He also has a clear advantage in championship experience. If he keeps the fight standing, his combinations, movement and ability to make adjustments between rounds could produce another successful title defense.
The concern is whether the 38-year-old champion can consistently prevent Evloev from turning striking exchanges into prolonged wrestling sequences.
Evloev demonstrated his ability to increase his wrestling output during his victory over Lerone Murphy, successfully completing nine of ten takedown attempts across the final three rounds after spending much of the opening two rounds striking.
From a betting perspective, this matchup is exceptionally competitive. At -110, Evloev needs to win approximately 52.4% of the time to justify the price. We give the challenger a narrow advantage based on his wrestling volume, physical pressure and ability to win rounds without necessarily producing significant damage.
ProCappers Prediction: Evloev survives a competitive opening two rounds before gradually establishing more control through his wrestling. Volkanovski remains dangerous throughout, but Evloev's activity and positional advantages should be enough to secure a close decision.
Official Pick: Movsar Evloev (-110)
Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili 3 — Bantamweight Championship
Odds: Petr Yan -155 | Merab Dvalishvili +130 Prediction: Petr Yan by unanimous decision Free Pick: Petr Yan Moneyline (-155) Betting Confidence: Moderate
One of the most compelling rivalries in the bantamweight division reaches its third chapter when Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili meet with the UFC championship on the line.
Their previous two meetings provide an unusually detailed picture of how this matchup can unfold.
Dvalishvili dominated their first encounter in March 2023, using relentless wrestling pressure, constant movement and extraordinary conditioning to overwhelm Yan over five rounds.
However, Yan produced a dramatically different performance in their December 2025 rematch.
At UFC 323, Yan reclaimed the championship by neutralizing Dvalishvili's wrestling attack and controlling significant portions of the striking exchanges. Dvalishvili completed only two of 29 takedown attempts, while Yan landed five of his own nine attempts.
Those numbers are particularly important when evaluating Saturday's trilogy.
Dvalishvili's success generally depends on forcing opponents into a high-volume, physically exhausting contest. His constant pressure can disrupt even technically superior strikers, particularly when opponents begin defending takedowns rather than initiating offense.
Yan demonstrated in their second fight that he can counter that strategy.
His defensive wrestling, accurate counterpunching and ability to remain composed under pressure provide a clear path to victory. When Yan avoids spending extended periods against the fence, he can punish Dvalishvili's entries with combinations and score consistently at distance.
There are reasons to remain cautious.
Dvalishvili enters this fight with substantially more recovery and preparation time than he had during his demanding 2025 championship schedule. A refreshed Dvalishvili could deliver a much stronger performance than the one seen in December.
Nevertheless, Yan's improvements against this particular opponent are difficult to ignore.
The betting line reflects that advantage, with Yan listed as the favorite at -155. That price requires a win probability of approximately 60.8%, leaving less room for error than the main event.
ProCappers Prediction: Dvalishvili pushes a demanding pace and produces several successful wrestling sequences, but Yan's takedown defense and cleaner striking allow him to win enough rounds to retain the championship.
Official Pick: Petr Yan (-155)
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Ramazan Temirov — Flyweight
Odds: Lone'er Kavanagh -116 | Ramazan Temirov -104 Prediction: Ramazan Temirov by TKO Free Pick: Ramazan Temirov Moneyline (-104) Betting Confidence: Moderate
Saturday's flyweight matchup between Lone'er Kavanagh and Ramazan Temirov is one of the more difficult fights on the main card to handicap.
Both fighters bring speed, athleticism and offensive ability into a matchup that could develop into a high-tempo striking contest.
Kavanagh is a technically polished striker who works effectively behind combinations and movement. His ability to change angles and control distance gives him opportunities to accumulate points without becoming involved in unnecessary exchanges.
Temirov, however, brings a more aggressive offensive approach.
The Uzbek fighter is particularly dangerous when closing distance and forcing opponents into exchanges. His punching combinations and willingness to attack create finishing opportunities, although that same aggression can expose him to counters.
The central question is whether Kavanagh can maintain enough distance to dictate the rhythm of the fight.
If Kavanagh successfully establishes his jab, moves laterally and prevents Temirov from setting his feet, he has a legitimate opportunity to win a decision.
However, Temirov's forward pressure could force Kavanagh into extended exchanges where the Uzbek fighter's power becomes a significant factor.
With the moneyline close to even, neither fighter offers a substantial pricing advantage based solely on the market.
Our preference is Temirov because of his offensive pressure and potential to change the fight with a single clean combination.
ProCappers Prediction: Kavanagh has success early with his movement and technical striking, but Temirov gradually closes the distance and forces increasingly dangerous exchanges. We favor Temirov to produce a stoppage in the second or third round, although a competitive decision remains possible.
Official Pick: Ramazan Temirov (-104)
Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev — Heavyweight
Odds: Alexander Volkov -120 | Rizvan Kuniev EVEN (+100) Prediction: Alexander Volkov by unanimous decision Free Pick: Alexander Volkov Moneyline (-120) Betting Confidence: Moderate
Veteran heavyweight contender Alexander Volkov returns against Rizvan Kuniev in a matchup that could have significant implications for the division's rankings.
Volkov enters with a 40-11 professional record and a considerable advantage in experience against elite UFC opposition.
Standing 6-foot-7, Volkov has developed a highly effective striking approach built around range management, straight punches, kicks and controlled combinations.
His ability to maintain distance is particularly important against opponents who prefer to close the gap and establish wrestling control.
Kuniev brings a different set of strengths.
The Russian heavyweight possesses a solid grappling foundation, physical strength and the ability to make opponents uncomfortable in close-range exchanges. His best opportunities should come from pressuring Volkov toward the fence and creating takedown situations.
That strategy, however, presents challenges.
Volkov has become increasingly effective at defending wrestling attempts and using his size to frustrate opponents attempting to establish prolonged control.
He also has a substantial experience advantage in longer, technical striking contests.
Kuniev may enjoy success in isolated grappling exchanges, but maintaining that approach across three rounds against a veteran of Volkov's caliber will be difficult.
At -120, Volkov's moneyline requires approximately a 54.5% winning probability to break even. We believe his experience, reach and striking advantages make him a reasonable selection at that price.
ProCappers Prediction: Kuniev attempts to pressure Volkov and establish wrestling control, but Volkov's defensive positioning and long-range striking gradually take over. Expect a competitive heavyweight contest with Volkov accumulating enough effective offense to win on the scorecards.
Official Pick: Alexander Volkov (-120)
Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita — Featherweight
Odds: Aaron Pico -140 | Losene Keita +118 Prediction: Losene Keita by TKO Free Pick: Losene Keita Moneyline (+118) Betting Confidence: Speculative — Underdog Value
The opening fight of the UFC 333 main card features an intriguing featherweight matchup between Aaron Pico and Losene Keita.
Pico was originally scheduled to face Arnold Allen before an injury forced a change of opponent. Keita accepted the matchup on relatively short notice, introducing another important variable into an already competitive fight.
Pico is one of the more physically gifted fighters in the featherweight division.
His amateur wrestling background provides a legitimate advantage in grappling exchanges, while his boxing ability and punching power make him dangerous on the feet.
However, Pico's aggressive offensive approach has occasionally created defensive vulnerabilities.
When he commits heavily to combinations, opponents can find openings for counterstrikes. His knockout loss to Lerone Murphy illustrated the risks associated with that style.
Keita enters with a 17-2 professional record and considerable finishing ability.
The former two-division Oktagon champion combines explosive striking with speed and athleticism. He is comfortable operating at range but can also capitalize quickly when opponents leave defensive openings.
The key concern for Keita is wrestling.
Pico has the tools to take this fight to the ground, establish top control and reduce Keita's opportunities to land damaging strikes.
If Pico commits to a disciplined wrestling-heavy game plan, he should be favored.
However, the matchup becomes significantly more competitive if Pico elects to trade punches.
Keita's ability to counter aggressive entries and produce sudden finishes creates an interesting underdog opportunity.
At +118, Keita needs to win approximately 45.9% of the time to justify the wager. We see this as a closely contested fight with enough striking danger to make the underdog worth considering, although the short-notice preparation and wrestling disadvantage keep confidence limited.
ProCappers Prediction: Pico has early success with pressure and wrestling, but Keita finds opportunities during striking exchanges. We favor Keita to capitalize on a defensive opening and produce a TKO, potentially in the second round.
Official Pick: Losene Keita (+118)
UFC 333 Best Bets — ProCappers Free Picks
While we have predicted a winner in every main-card matchup, not every selection offers the same betting value.
The following plays represent our preferred options based on matchup characteristics and the available moneyline prices.
Selection | Odds | Betting outlook |
|---|---|---|
Movsar Evloev ML | -110 | Competitive championship matchup; wrestling edge |
Alexander Volkov ML | -120 | Experience and striking advantages |
Ramazan Temirov ML | -104 | Pressure and finishing potential |
Petr Yan ML | -155 | Technical advantages demonstrated in previous meeting |
Losene Keita ML | +118 | Higher-risk underdog opportunity |
Best Overall Pick: Alexander Volkov Moneyline (-120)
Volkov offers an appealing combination of experience, technical striking and a manageable betting price.
His ability to control distance against Kuniev provides a relatively straightforward route to victory, although Kuniev's wrestling remains a legitimate concern.
Best Championship Pick: Movsar Evloev Moneyline (-110)
The undefeated challenger presents a serious threat to Volkanovski's championship reign.
His relentless wrestling, consistent pace and ability to accumulate control time make him an attractive selection in what should be a closely contested five-round fight.
Best Underdog Pick: Losene Keita Moneyline (+118)
Keita carries considerably more risk than some of our other selections, particularly because of Pico's wrestling advantage.
However, his striking power and ability to capitalize on defensive mistakes create a plausible upset scenario at plus-money odds.
This is a smaller-stake opportunity rather than a primary wager.
UFC 333 Betting Strategy: Avoid Overexposure
With five competitive main-card matchups, bettors should be careful about treating every predicted winner as an equally strong wagering opportunity.
Several of Saturday's fights feature relatively narrow moneyline prices, meaning even a small change in odds can affect whether a selection represents worthwhile value.
The Volkanovski-Evloev championship fight is particularly difficult to price because both fighters possess legitimate advantages and proven abilities against elite opposition.
Similarly, the Kavanagh-Temirov matchup offers multiple plausible outcomes, while Pico's wrestling makes Keita a dangerous underdog selection despite the potential payout.
For bettors considering parlays, combining several closely matched fights increases the possibility that one unexpected result eliminates the entire ticket.
Straight wagers with disciplined bankroll management generally provide greater control over exposure than large accumulators built around every main-card prediction.
Final UFC 333 Predictions
Our projected main-card winners for Saturday, October 24, are Movsar Evloev, Petr Yan, Ramazan Temirov, Alexander Volkov and Losene Keita.
The two championship fights should provide the evening's most technically demanding contests, while the featherweight opener has the potential to produce one of the card's most exciting finishes.
From a betting standpoint, we prefer Volkov's experience advantage, Evloev's wrestling pressure and Temirov's offensive upside. Keita represents the more speculative underdog opportunity, while Yan remains our selection to retain the bantamweight championship.
As always, bettors should compare available sportsbook prices before placing wagers. A favorable matchup does not automatically translate into a profitable wager if the odds are too expensive.
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Odds referenced October 23, 2026, and are subject to change. All predictions are opinions, not guaranteed outcomes. Bet responsibly.