Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets

Wednesday, September 16, 2026 7:10 PM ET Game 17080287
Baltimore Orioles
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Baltimore Orioles
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New York Mets
New York Mets
Game Analysis

The Baltimore Orioles visit the New York Mets on Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Both teams have struggled this season, with Baltimore sitting at 74-78 and New York at 69-82. The records suggest a matchup between two teams that are out of playoff contention and likely looking to finish strong.

Looking at the betting lines, the Mets are favored at home with a moneyline of -149, meaning you’d need to bet $149 to win $100 on New York outright. The Orioles are the underdogs at +123 on the moneyline, so a $100 bet would win $123 if they pull off the upset. The spread is set at 1.5 runs, with Baltimore at -171 and New York at +141. This means the Orioles are expected to lose by more than one run, and you’d have to risk $171 to win $100 betting on Baltimore to cover the spread. Conversely, a $100 bet on the Mets to cover the spread would win $141.

The total runs expected are 8.5, with the over priced at -122 and the under at +101. The odds suggest the market slightly favors the under, meaning fewer than nine runs scored combined.

Given the records and odds, the Mets are slight favorites at home, but the Orioles have decent value on the moneyline. The spread price on Baltimore is expensive, so betting the moneyline might be a better option for underdog bettors. The total points to a moderately low-scoring game, with a slight lean towards the under.

Analysis updated September 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM
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