New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, August 29, 2026 7:00 PM ET Game 17079869
New Mexico State Aggies
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New Mexico State Aggies
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Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles
Game Analysis

The New Mexico State Aggies head to Tallahassee to face the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Looking at the betting odds, Florida State is a massive favorite with a 31.5-point spread. This means the Seminoles need to win by more than 31 points for a bet on them to pay off. The slight juice on the spread (-112 on Florida State, -108 on New Mexico State) shows sportsbooks expect a big win but not a guaranteed blowout.

The moneyline numbers also tell a story. Florida State’s odds are -10,000, meaning you’d have to bet $10,000 just to win $100. New Mexico State’s moneyline at +3000 indicates a huge underdog status, reflecting how unlikely it is they’ll pull off the upset. This gap confirms expectations of a dominant Seminoles performance.

The total points line is set at 53.5, with a near even split between the over (-112) and under (-108). This suggests the game could either be a high-scoring affair or a more defensive battle. Given the large spread, the under might be tempting if you expect Florida State to control the clock and pace.

In summary, Florida State is heavily favored to win big. Taking the Seminoles to cover 31.5 points is risky but aligns with current odds. For those skeptical of such a wide margin, betting on New Mexico State to keep it closer offers long-shot value. The total’s balance invites a closer look at game flow once kickoff approaches.

Analysis updated August 28, 2026 at 12:29 PM
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