Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Memphis Tigers

Saturday, September 5, 2026 7:00 PM ET Game 17080185
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Away
Arkansas State Red Wolves
VS
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Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers
Game Analysis

Memphis enters this game with a 1-0 record and is favored by 10.5 points. The home spread at -10.5 (-115) means bookmakers expect Memphis to win by at least 11 points. Betting on Memphis against the spread requires them to win by 11 or more to cover the spread and cash your bet. On the other side, Arkansas State is a sizable underdog with a +10.5 spread at -105. Taking Arkansas State with the points means they can lose by up to 10 points, or win outright, for a winning bet.

Moneyline odds also reflect Memphis as the strong favorite at -455. This means you’d need to bet $455 to win $100 on Memphis straight up. Arkansas State’s moneyline is +350, offering a bigger payout for an outright upset win.

The total points line is set at 52.5 with the under at -115 and the over at -105. This suggests sportsbooks expect a moderately scoring game. The slight juice difference means the under is a touch more favored by bettors.

Given Memphis’s favored status and the large spread, this game is expected to be controlled by the home team. If you believe Memphis will win comfortably, betting the home spread or moneyline could make sense. However, if you expect a closer game or an Arkansas State upset, the away spread or moneyline offer potential value. The total of 52.5 points is a middle ground for scoring expectations, so look for clues on offensive output closer to game day.

Overall, the lines show Memphis as the strong favorite with a moderately high-scoring game expected. Choose your bets based on your confidence in Memphis covering or Arkansas State keeping it close.

Analysis updated September 2, 2026 at 6:03 AM
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