Memphis Tigers vs Boise State Broncos

Saturday, September 12, 2026 6:00 PM ET Game 17080046
Memphis Tigers
Away
Memphis Tigers
VS
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Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos
Game Analysis

Memphis comes into this game with a solid 2-0 record, showing they’ve started the season strong. Boise State, on the other hand, is 0-1, which might make some question their early form. Despite that, Boise State is favored at home by 8.5 points. This means the sportsbook expects them to win by more than a touchdown and a two-point conversion.

The spread is set at -8.5 for Boise State, with -110 odds on both sides. That means you’d need to bet $110 to win $100, whether you take Boise State to cover the spread or Memphis to keep it closer than 8.5 points. The moneyline gives Boise State a clear favorite status at -355, so a $355 bet would win $100 if they win outright. Memphis is the underdog at +280, meaning a $100 bet would pay out $280 if they pull off the upset.

The total points line is 54.5, with the over priced slightly higher at -112 compared to the under at -108. This suggests the game could be moderately high scoring, but the odds are fairly balanced.

Given Memphis’s undefeated start and Boise State’s home advantage, this line suggests the market believes Boise State will bounce back strongly. If you’re looking for value, betting on Memphis with the points might be worth considering. But if you trust Boise State to dominate at home, taking them to cover seems logical. The total is close, so expect a competitive game with a decent amount of scoring.

Analysis updated September 8, 2026 at 6:03 AM
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