Missouri State Bears vs Southern Methodist Mustangs

Saturday, September 26, 2026 9:00 PM ET Game 17080609
Missouri State Bears
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Missouri State Bears
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Southern Methodist Mustangs
Southern Methodist Mustangs
Game Analysis

Missouri State Bears (1-2) are set to visit the Southern Methodist Mustangs (2-1) on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Looking at the betting odds, SMU is a heavy favorite with a massive 34.5-point spread. This means the Mustangs are expected to win by more than 34 points for bettors to cash on the home side. The spread prices are close, with -115 on the Bears and -105 on the Mustangs, showing a slight lean toward SMU covering such a large margin.

The moneyline further emphasizes the expected dominance. SMU is priced at -9000, which implies they are almost certain to win outright. On the other hand, Missouri State’s moneyline sits at a long +2500, reflecting a very unlikely upset. The extreme difference here signals a significant gap in perceived team strength.

The total points line is set at 59.5 with even odds on the over and under (-110 each). This suggests the game could be moderately high scoring but not a shootout. Bettors can expect a game where the Mustangs control the pace and score efficiently, while Missouri State may struggle to keep up.

In summary, the lines point to a one-sided game with SMU dominating. For those considering bets, the key question is whether SMU can cover the large spread or if Missouri State can keep things closer than expected. The total might be a safer way to engage if you expect a solid but not explosive scoring output.

Analysis updated September 25, 2026 at 6:03 AM
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