Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Sunday, September 20, 2026 1:00 PM ET Game 17080424
Pittsburgh Steelers
Away
Pittsburgh Steelers
VS
Home
New England Patriots
New England Patriots
Game Analysis

The Steelers come into this game with a 1-0 record, while the Patriots are 0-1. That early difference might explain the line here. New England is favored by 5.5 points at home, with a price of -105 on the Patriots to cover the spread. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is the underdog with +5.5 points at -115 odds.

The moneyline tells a similar story. The Patriots are the favorite at -218, meaning you’d have to bet $218 to win $100 on them straight up. The Steelers, as the underdog, offer a tempting +180 payout if they pull off the upset.

The total is set at 41.5 points, with the over slightly favored at -112 versus the under at -108. This suggests a fairly balanced expectation on scoring, with no clear lean toward a high- or low-scoring affair.

If you believe the Patriots will win by a touchdown or more, taking them at -5.5 looks reasonable, especially at -105 odds. But if you think the Steelers can keep it close or even win outright, the +5.5 points and +180 moneyline are attractive.

Overall, the lines suggest a competitive game with New England slightly favored, but Pittsburgh’s early win gives them a solid chance to stay close. The total points market also shows a moderate scoring expectation. Betting here will come down to your confidence in the Patriots covering versus the Steelers’ ability to keep it tight or pull off an upset.

Analysis updated September 18, 2026 at 6:04 AM
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