New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, September 27, 2026 1:00 PM ET Game 17080649
New England Patriots
Away
New England Patriots
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Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
Game Analysis

The New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars both enter this Sunday’s matchup with identical 1-1 records. This sets up an evenly matched contest with some intriguing betting angles.

The Jaguars are slight favorites at home, favored by 3 points with odds at -105. That means bettors need to wager $105 to win $100 on Jacksonville covering the spread. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 3-point underdogs at -115, so a $115 bet wins $100 if New England keeps the game within 3 points or wins outright.

Looking at the moneyline, Jacksonville is at -155, indicating bettors must risk $155 to win $100 on the Jaguars simply to win the game. New England’s moneyline sits at +130, meaning a $100 bet nets $130 if the Patriots pull off the upset.

The total points line is set at 46.5, with the under slightly favored at -115. This suggests oddsmakers expect a moderately scoring game, with a small lean toward fewer than 47 points combined.

Overall, the odds imply a close game with Jacksonville holding a small edge at home. The spread is tight, so the Patriots keeping it close is a reasonable expectation. The moneyline payout on New England offers value if you believe in an upset. Meanwhile, the total points line suggests a fairly balanced contest offensively.

In summary, this game looks like a classic toss-up with a slight Jacksonville lean. Bettors should weigh the small home advantage and consider the best value between the spread, moneyline, and total points.

Analysis updated September 25, 2026 at 6:03 AM
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