New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears

Thursday, October 22, 2026 8:15 PM ET Game 17081149
New England Patriots
Away
New England Patriots
VS
Home
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
Game Analysis

The New England Patriots and Chicago Bears both enter this Thursday night matchup with identical 4-2 records, setting the stage for a tight contest. Chicago is favored by 3 points at home, with odds of -102 on the spread. This means a bet on the Bears to cover requires them to win by at least four points for a payout. Meanwhile, the Patriots are +3 underdogs at -118, so bettors backing New England get a bit better juice but need the team to either win outright or lose by fewer than three points.

Looking at the moneyline, Chicago is the favorite at -155, suggesting you’d need to wager $155 to win $100 on a Bears outright victory. The Patriots are the underdog at +130, meaning a $100 bet on New England would yield $130 if they pull off the upset.

The total points line sits at 50.5, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. The close odds on the over/under imply an expectation of a moderately high-scoring game but nothing extreme.

With both teams sharing the same record and a three-point spread, this game looks evenly matched. The Bears’ home-field advantage slightly tips the scales. If you believe the defenses will keep scoring in check, the under near even odds could be appealing. Otherwise, a small lean toward the Bears to cover makes sense based on this line. As always, consider these odds alongside your own research and risk tolerance.

Analysis updated October 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM
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