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PHI

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/4/25 MLB Free Pick

Alright, folks, we've got an exciting matchup on our hands between the Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies. Both teams are coming off wins in their last games, so they'll be looking to carry that momentum into this showdown.

Let's start by looking at the standings. The Reds currently sit in the 4th position in their division with 45 wins and 42 losses. They have a balanced record both at home (24-19) and away (21-23). On the offensive end, the Reds are scoring an average of 4.6 runs per game while allowing 4.2 runs against them.

On the other side, the Phillies are leading the division with 51 wins and 36 losses. They have been dominant at home with a 28-15 record but have been slightly less successful on the road at 23-21. The Phillies have been putting up similar offensive numbers to the Reds, averaging 4.6 runs per game while holding opponents to 4.0 runs.

When we dive into the power ratings, we see that the Phillies hold a higher power rating at 110.33 compared to the Reds' 106.14. This indicates that the Phillies have been performing at a higher level overall, with a win percentage of 0.586 compared to the Reds' 0.517. However, both teams have a close points differential, showing that they have been evenly matched in terms of scoring and defense.

Now, let's talk about the game odds. The Phillies are favored to win this matchup with a spread of -1.5, indicating that they are expected to win by at least 2 runs. The moneyline also reflects this with the Phillies at -164 and the Reds at +138. The over/under is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting that oddsmakers anticipate a relatively low-scoring game.

In conclusion, while the Phillies have the statistical edge in this matchup, baseball is a game of unpredictability, and anything can happen on any given day. The Reds will be looking to pull off an upset and continue their winning streak, while the Phillies aim to maintain their position at the top of the division. It's sure to be a thrilling game that fans won't want to miss!

The ProCappers predicted final score is for the Cincinnati Reds to beat the home team Philadelphia Phillies 5-4

Brett Diamond Free Pick Philadelphia Phillies (-164)