WAS

NYM

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets 9/21/25 MLB Free Pick

Tonight's matchup in the MLB features the Washington Nationals facing off against the New York Mets. The Nationals are on a bit of a slump, having lost their last three games, while the Mets are riding the high of a recent victory.

Taking a closer look at the standings, the Nationals currently sit in 5th place with 53 wins and 78 losses. Their home record stands at 26-39, and on the road, they've posted a record of 27-39. They are averaging 4.3 points for and conceding 5.5 points against per game.

On the other side, the Mets are in a more favorable position, occupying the 2nd spot with 70 wins and 61 losses. They have been dominant at home with a record of 42-24 but have a more modest away record of 28-37. The Mets are scoring an average of 4.6 points per game and allowing 4.2 points against.

When we delve into the power ratings, we see the Nationals with a power rating of -50.91, indicating a win percentage of 40.5% and a slight negative points differential of -0.01. In contrast, the Mets boast a solid power rating of 107.11, translating to a win percentage of 53.4% and an even points differential of 0.00.

In terms of the game odds, the Mets are the favorites with a spread of -1.5, meaning they are expected to win by at least 2 runs. The odds stand at -120 for the Mets and +100 for the Nationals, suggesting that the Mets are the more likely victors according to the bookmakers. The moneyline reflects this favoritism with the Mets at -270 and the Nationals at +220.

The over/under is set at 8.5 runs, indicating the total number of runs both teams are expected to score combined. The odds for the over and under are both at -105, suggesting a fairly balanced expectation from the bookies in terms of total scoring.

In conclusion, while the Nationals are on a losing streak and the Mets are coming off a win, the stats heavily favor the Mets in this matchup. However, baseball is a game of surprises, and anything can happen on any given night. So, tune in for what promises to be an exciting game between these two teams!

The ProCappers predicted final score is for the Washington Nationals to beat the home team New York Mets 5-4

Matt Moorhead Free Pick New York Mets (-280)