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MIA
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DAL

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks 12/3/25 NBA Free Pick

Alright folks, buckle up because we've got an exciting matchup on our hands between the Miami Heat and the Dallas Mavericks. Let's dive into the numbers and see where the smart money might be in this game.

First off, let's talk about the recent form of these two teams. The Miami Heat are coming off a solid win in their last game, showing they have some momentum on their side. On the other hand, the Dallas Mavericks are currently riding a two-game win streak, so they are also feeling confident coming into this matchup.

Looking at the standings, the Miami Heat are sitting pretty at the top of the table in the first position with 14 wins and 7 losses. They have been dominant at home with a 10-2 record but have been a bit shaky on the road with a 4-5 record. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 124.3 points per game, while their defense has been a bit leaky, allowing 118.4 points per game.

In contrast, the Dallas Mavericks have had a tougher time this season, currently sitting in the fourth position with a 7-15 record. They have struggled at home with a 4-9 record and have been slightly better on the road with a 3-5 record. Their offense has been decent, averaging 111.1 points per game, but their defense has been a concern, conceding 116.1 points per game.

Now, let's talk about the power ratings. The Miami Heat boast a strong power rating of 123.40, indicating their overall performance has been impressive with a win percentage of 0.667. Their points differential of 0.28 shows they have been winning games by a narrow margin.

On the other side, the Dallas Mavericks have a lower power rating of 90.84, highlighting their struggles this season with a win percentage of 0.318. Their points differential of -0.23 indicates they have been losing games by a small margin on average.

When it comes to the game odds, the Miami Heat are currently favored on the road with a spread of -4.0 points, while the Dallas Mavericks are the underdogs with a +4.0 spread. The moneyline odds are -170 for the Miami Heat and +145 for the Dallas Mavericks, showing that the bookies see Miami as the more likely winner.

In terms of the total points, the over/under is set at 240.5, suggesting that we could see a high-scoring game between these two teams.

In conclusion, while the Miami Heat are the favorites in this matchup based on their recent form, power ratings, and the odds, the Dallas Mavericks should not be counted out, especially with their current win streak. It's shaping up to be a thrilling game between two competitive teams. So, grab your popcorn and get ready for some top-notch NBA action!

The predicted final score is for the Dallas Mavericks beating the visiting Miami Heat 122-117.

Note: These free picks do not represent our official Premium Picks. Final Premium Picks require additional analysis including injuries, trends, situations, and other technical factors. For full analysis, and official Premium Picks, please purchase my Premium Picks.
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Miami vs Dallas Betting Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline. It's important to note that betting odds can change leading up to the game, so be sure to check for updates.

TeamSpreadMLTotal
Miami-5
-105
-185o238.5
-105
Dallas+5
-115
+160u238.5
-105
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